September 7, 2011: Last week Turkey announced the
expulsion of the Israeli ambassador to Turkey for Israel's
refusal to apologize for the armed interdiction in May 2010 of
the delivery of relief goods to Gaza via a naval flotilla
sponsored by a Turkish organization. Eight Turkish citizens and
one American citizen of Turkish origin died on May 31, 2010
when Israeli naval commandos boarded six ships attempting to
break Israel's naval blockade of Gaza. Erdogan is said to be
considering increasing Turkish naval patrols in the eastern
Mediterranean and even dispatching Turkish vessels to protect
any future naval aid transports to Gaza.
In the aftermath of the diplomatic row Turkish prime
minister Recep Erdogan turned up the heat with a statement
regarding the future of Turkish-Israeli relations: "Trade ties,
military ties, regarding defense industry ties, we are
completely suspending them." Later Erdogan's spokesman
clarified his declaration by saying that the prime minister had
only the exchange of military goods in mind, not general trade
and commerce between the two countries.
Considering that the establishment of a close ties with
Ankara was a major achievement of Israeli foreign policy over
the last 15 years, these recent developments highlight the
damage that has been done to the Turkish-Israeli
relationship.
As I reported earlier this year, Erdogan has a
vision for Turkey and the Arab
world. It appears that Israel might be Erdogan's
sacrificial lamb in pursuit of his grand design. According
to Shmuel Bar of the Israeli Inter-Disciplinary Center,
"Erdogan is trying to enhance his status in the region by
expressing animosity towards Israel, feeling like he has a
lot of backing within Turkey for that." According to Bar,
Erdogan wants to fill the vacuum left in the region by the
departure or overthrow of older leaders like Egypt's Hosni
Mubarek.
Adding to Israel's concerns, Erdogan also announced that he
plans to form a strategic military and economic alliance with
Egypt. Erdogan's visit to Egypt would be the first by a Turkish
prime minister in 15 years. During the Mubarek era, Turkey was
viewed as a potential rival.
According to Turkish news medias, Erdogan plans to travel to
Egypt next week and then visit Gaza from there. Erdogan also
announced his country's intention to support the Palestinian
bid to be admitted as a member of the United Nations, a plan
opposed by both Israel and the United States.